If you don't defect
-He defects first: You may or may not go to prison
-He doesn't defect: You may or may not go to prison
And if you defect first
-He defects second: You don't go to prison
-He doesn't defect: You don't go to prison
Still seems to me that the Nash Equilibrium is to defect. Not going to prison is better than probably not going to prison. According to the article, they still don't talk to each other, so it's not like the outcome would have changed much.
That was probably the logic the Feds used when designing this game. Actually, kind of surprising that Nestor did not go for it, based on my assessment of his character from this article.
If you don't defect -He defects first: You may or may not go to prison -He doesn't defect: You may or may not go to prison
And if you defect first -He defects second: You don't go to prison -He doesn't defect: You don't go to prison
Still seems to me that the Nash Equilibrium is to defect. Not going to prison is better than probably not going to prison. According to the article, they still don't talk to each other, so it's not like the outcome would have changed much.