Short of external factors (sharp recession in tech), I don't see the culling phase happening.
If a recession did happen and orgs started cost cutting, I imagine that R&D would drop somewhat, and you would see fewer new projects and toolkits perhaps? Even then its hard to see the pace of innovation (for lack of a better word) slowing.
It seems to me that technology is now in the stage, where its everywhere. Every industry that is quick to adopt new software gains a competitive advantage over its peers, in so many industries. This unreasonable effectiveness of software seems to feed itself.
I would love to see studies that measure/quantify the blooming and culling of technologies so we could talk about these things with more than just anecdata.
If a recession did happen and orgs started cost cutting, I imagine that R&D would drop somewhat, and you would see fewer new projects and toolkits perhaps? Even then its hard to see the pace of innovation (for lack of a better word) slowing.
It seems to me that technology is now in the stage, where its everywhere. Every industry that is quick to adopt new software gains a competitive advantage over its peers, in so many industries. This unreasonable effectiveness of software seems to feed itself.
I would love to see studies that measure/quantify the blooming and culling of technologies so we could talk about these things with more than just anecdata.