Regarding the court orders, ICE confirmed that today. I don't know how he got verification of that over the weekend, but he's good at digging around and finding stuff like that.
I'm not sure which 'deflation argument' you're referring to, but he has been arguing since 2006 that deflation would be the natural result of the financial crisis, even when Nouriel Roubini himself was arguing inflation (Roubini quickly reversed himself).
He was completely correct on that, it's deflation that the US Government and Federal Reserve are trying to prevent with massive stimuli and QE1/2. So far they've been successful, but at such a great cost there's no telling whether it's sustainable, or whether Bernanke can wind it down and gracefully exit eventually. Denninger argues no, b/c there's too much bad debt, and credit
Regarding gold, his fundamental thesis is that the data doesn't support the widely-held belief that gold is a good hedge for inflation or deflation, but it does appear to be a good hedge for geopolitical instability. He's posted data that disprove the former notion, which I'm not about to go try to dig up.
Gold has risen over the past ten years, but that time period was characterized by both currency instability, currency inflation, debt deflation, and geopolitical instability in the MidEast and somewhat N.Korea. Good luck trying to extract any causation out of that correlation. Till then, there's nothing to disprove his gold thesis.
He made parts of his website private to keep out the 'moonbats', conspiracy theorists, and 'collapse of the American Empire' cheerleaders, who tend to be most active in precious metals forums.
Whether he had an ulterior motive to hide being wrong about gold, I can't speak to that since I don't follow gold, or his gold forum very closely. Have any evidence of that accusation?
I'm not sure which 'deflation argument' you're referring to, but he has been arguing since 2006 that deflation would be the natural result of the financial crisis, even when Nouriel Roubini himself was arguing inflation (Roubini quickly reversed himself).
He was completely correct on that, it's deflation that the US Government and Federal Reserve are trying to prevent with massive stimuli and QE1/2. So far they've been successful, but at such a great cost there's no telling whether it's sustainable, or whether Bernanke can wind it down and gracefully exit eventually. Denninger argues no, b/c there's too much bad debt, and credit
Regarding gold, his fundamental thesis is that the data doesn't support the widely-held belief that gold is a good hedge for inflation or deflation, but it does appear to be a good hedge for geopolitical instability. He's posted data that disprove the former notion, which I'm not about to go try to dig up.
Gold has risen over the past ten years, but that time period was characterized by both currency instability, currency inflation, debt deflation, and geopolitical instability in the MidEast and somewhat N.Korea. Good luck trying to extract any causation out of that correlation. Till then, there's nothing to disprove his gold thesis.
He made parts of his website private to keep out the 'moonbats', conspiracy theorists, and 'collapse of the American Empire' cheerleaders, who tend to be most active in precious metals forums.
Whether he had an ulterior motive to hide being wrong about gold, I can't speak to that since I don't follow gold, or his gold forum very closely. Have any evidence of that accusation?