A quick weekend side project. I am curious if the like count of a candidate for office can predict if they will win. For the past month or so I have been tracking the likes of several campaigns. Today I put a prettier face on it.
http://cmpgns.net/
After the election I will do a quick analysis of the races and see if anything interesting turns up. If anyone adds a candidate I'm missing, I'll go in and add their opponent
I didn't have time to figure it out but its not clear if the percent is the 30-day change or the percent of relevant users that liked a certain candidate.
Some of your calculations are off. See Nancy Pelosi.
That being said, old voters have the highest turnout rate and they will be underrepresented here. But I like seeing new innovation in political web apps.