Worth noting that probabilistic reasoning via approximations are actually pretty cool. Its just that the same sort of thing that makes them great is also a thing which makes them terrible. The upside of not being thorough is being fast and the downside in being fast is not being through.
I find it neat that the person arguing for speed is employing heuristics which short circuit reading.
A great way to look at human biases is through the lens of the good they cause. It makes them all make sense in a way that looking at them through the lens of failure cases doesn't. The world is awe inspiring in its complexity and coping with that efficiently and in real time requires trade offs. Catch the same person who appears delusional in one real-time context at a time wherein they can think for longer and their thinking can become much more logical and mathematical.
I find it neat that the person arguing for speed is employing heuristics which short circuit reading.
A great way to look at human biases is through the lens of the good they cause. It makes them all make sense in a way that looking at them through the lens of failure cases doesn't. The world is awe inspiring in its complexity and coping with that efficiently and in real time requires trade offs. Catch the same person who appears delusional in one real-time context at a time wherein they can think for longer and their thinking can become much more logical and mathematical.