Devs (like yourself) might generate scaffolding for a greenfield project very quickly and be amazed and claim they're more productive, but I don't think that is evidence that an experienced developer will actually be more productive.
Honestly, project scaffolding is such a small part of the job. I spend a lot more time reading, designing, thinking critically about, reviewing changes to, and generally maintaining code than I do creating greenfield projects or writing boilerplate. For all of these tasks having actually written the code myself gives me an advantage. I don't believe today's tools are a net positive.
Sure it does. It’s not a guarantee, but presuming that a pattern is likely to continue is not nothing. When a pattern is observed, the onus is on the “This time is different!” side to make their case.
If you don’t accept that an observed trend says anything about the future, you shouldn’t make unsupported assertions in the opposite direction. They say less.
AI aiming to automate everything is something new. That's the point. There was no AI in the past similar to what is slowly unfolding now. Not even close. If you disagree with the word "anything" i used, then yes i understand i shouldn't have used this word.
With AI humans aim to automate some forms of intelligent work. People that do this kind of work don't necessarily like that, for obvious reasons, and many HN participants are part of that cohort.
