VCs don't manage public money, and they also have their own filters to pick who gets to play the lottery. (And the VC ecosystem has its own set of impact metrics. the sacred KPIs! CLV, CAC, YoY! and of course just scientists know which grant organization wants which buzzwords, just as founders know which VC loves which overhyped contemporary meme.)
None of these spheres of life are, uhm, perfect, but this PR problem is completely the fault of academia, that they cannot sell this lottery model as well as the biz world. (Though I think maybe we should take a minute to consider how well loved investors and capitalists are nowadays!)
Employer (the capitalist) also takes the risks, blablabla.
Probably a better framework would be to look at the power imbalance in the respective labor market. Is the employer incentivized to hire people even at a relatively high wage, because there's competitive pressure from other employers? Do people have enough savings (and unemployment payments or other safety nets) to be able to find a good job? (Even relocate if necessary.)
Company towns were bad, and small rural towns with only one big employer also exhibit similar problems.
Where are scientists in this model? Do they have ample of opportunities? Are they simply settling for a low pay because they really really like their niche work?
> Is the employer incentivized to hire people even at a relatively high wage
That doesn't matter in that particular theory (I'm not a marxist, just explaining). The employees are always exploited like a natural resource.
> Company towns were bad, and small rural towns with only one big employer also exhibit similar problems.
Well the funny thing is Marx advocated for that in the Communist Manifesto. He might have been a good philosopher but the solutions he proposed weren't very successful.
The obvious compromise seems to be to limit the duration of confidentiality to something reasonable. Let's say 1-2 years.
Furthermore the initial draft talked about aggregate data anyway. The EU really shouldn't care about individual DCs anyway.
As long as they keep the water clean (and pay for the relevant environmental load quotas) and have the permits who the fuck cares? It's idiotic anti-AI hysteria.
The quote about "ramping up their lobbying efforts" is also absurd, it's just a few lines after the paragraph that describes that the commission asked for feedback from the industry as part of some standard consultative process.
The most crazy part seems to be the commission's "we have always been at war with Eastasia" behavior regarding the confidentiality.
While the precedent is clearly bad individual DCs don't matter, as long as the actual consumption and environmental load correctly shows up in regional stats.
As long as they pay the quotas it doesn't matter. DCs don't eat the water, people can go and take samples, measure temperature. Heck, how complicated it will be to put out a solar panel powered thermometer with a SIM card? Or set up a drone with a IR camera to fly around a DC each day? If someone wants to carry out a crusade against DCs, sure, there's plenty of precedent for that too! (see Cervantes 1605 and 1615) And of course if hedge funds want to know when to short the AI bubble they'll be doing the same anyway, so the commission should ask them to publish their data with a few months lag.
Both can be true at the same time. There's no(t enough) transparency about this.
Though I reckon even if the HN crowd is a loud minority Anthropic has no problem with traction, and even if eventually it will the enterprise market doesn't care much about HN threads.
This really is a lot of it, at least trying to help people at work internally. I've discovered a lot of people overly rely on Claude writing directives (always do X, never do Y, remember this every time) to its MEMORY.md, which it does mostly unprompted. The problem is, the few times I've noticed my agent getting "squirrely," some or a lot of the stuff in MEMORY.md was flat out wrong (the agent wrote down the wrong memory), confused or in direct contradiction with its CLAUDE.md, etc.
When I fixed this, it was like magic, working how I wanted again. I now have a skill to periodically audit MEMORY.md and CLAUDE.md according to the conventions I've learned work best for me - which I suppose /dream is supposed to handle eventually, but you're kind of trusting it to audit its own memories, which have, at least to me, already proven to be unreliable.
With so many factors like this, not even to mention context exhaustion, window size, effort, etc. - anecdotal evidence is almost worthless without examining someone's entire local state.
A lot of it, to me, feels like user error, I haven't really noticed much behavioral difference between 4.5, 4.6, and 4.7, at least in my own workflow. I will note though that constantly managing these things is a lot of work that I hope one day becomes less necessary. It's more than I can expect people on my team to manage on their own, and unless I sit down with them 1 on 1 and review their issues, or write some clever agent to help them, I don't really know how I can help people reporting things that I hear posted here a lot.
the obvious problem with any such scheme is that things are already priced in.
if it would be so easy to build personal passive income businesses hedge funds would be going around recruiting people and funding them. or the government. or the Effrctive Altruist.
but most small business are bad, inefficient, hard to scale them, etc.
(that doesn't mean there are no way to make money this way, but economically those boil down to bets. sure, sure, the aforementioned fancy investment funds also do bets, usually more sophisticated ones, and who doesn't, right? unless you are actively building a bunker somewhere around the Darién gap and recruiting people to your doomsday cult you are betting on the global economy chugging along.
but! eventually one has to price in risks-weighted return, and usually "passive income" is pretty poor compared to a boring job that pays really well.)
local small business should offer local specialty, if it's doing the exact same thing as the big business but with higher overhead, then why not find something much more productive for the folks there?
small local economies that are stagnating already for decades are not great for anyone. people who live there are struggling, no upward mobility, anyone a bit more successful leaves, the usual urban rural polarization intensifies, yadda yadda.
obviously one of the big drivers of this is the completely fucked up housing policy. (which itself is driven by public safety and public transit issues.)
education is a close second. then the return to office mandates. the all the discontinuities and disincentives of the braindead wrong implementation of welfare (and other social support/payments).
the real economy deadweight loss is easily 2-3% of GDP (per year of course)
None of these spheres of life are, uhm, perfect, but this PR problem is completely the fault of academia, that they cannot sell this lottery model as well as the biz world. (Though I think maybe we should take a minute to consider how well loved investors and capitalists are nowadays!)
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